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China Feed Market Review & Outlook 2007-2008 Proposal

完成日期:2008年02月
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TABLE OF CONTENT
CHAPTER ONE
Exterior Macro Environment of China’s Feed Industry
  1.1 China’s Feed Legilation and Influences
  1.2 China’s Total Grain Output and Influences
  1.3 China’s Changes of Animal Inventory and Influences
  1.4 China’s Feed Stuff Supply and Influences
  1.5 China’s Changes of Grain Further Processing Policies and Influences
CHAPTER TWO
Production and Consumption of Manufactured Feed in China
  2.1 Production of Manufactured Feed in 2007
  2.2 Analysis of Manufactured Feed Demand in 2007
    2.2.1 Influences of Livstock and Poultry Inventory on Manufactured Feed
    2.2.2 Influences of Feed Price on Manufactured Feed
    2.2.3 Influences of Animal Breeding Scale on Manufactured Feed
    2.2.4 Influences of Livestock Product Consumption on Manufactured Feed
  2.3 Structure of Feed Enterprises in China, 2007
    2.3.1 Economic Form
    2.3.2 Product Type
    2.3.3 Production Capacity of Compound Feed Enterprises
  2.4 Analysis of Manufactured Feed Supply in China, 2007
    2.4.1 Production Capacity of Manufactured Feed
    2.4.2 Feedstuff Cost of Manufactured Feed
    2.4.3 Output of Manufactured Feed
    2.4.4 Output of Large Scale Feed Enterprises
    2.4.5 Output of Feed Enterprises above Designated Size
  2.5 Analysis of Manufactured Feed Consumption
    2.5.1 Consumption of Manufactured Feed
    2.5.2 Consumption of Hog Formula Feed
    2.5.3 Consumption of Meat Poultry Formula Feed
    2.5.4 Consumption of Poultry Layer Formula Feed
    2.5.5 Consumption of Aquatic Formula Feed
    2.5.6 Consumption of Ruminant Formula Feed
  2.6 Outlook of Manufactured Feed Production and Consumption in 2008
CHAPTER THREE
Analysis of Feed Stuff Consumption in China
  3.1Consumption of Stuff for Formula Feed in 2007
  3.2 Consumption of Stuff for Farm Mixed Feed in 2007
    3.2.1 Consumption of Stuff for Concentrated Feed
    3.2.2 Consumption of Stuff for Premixed Feed
  3.3 Consumption of Stuff for Hog Feed in 2007
  3.4 Consumption of Stuff for Meat Poultry Feed in 2007
  3.5 Consumption of Stuff for Poultry Layer Feed in 2007
  3.6 Consumption of Stuff for Aquatic Feed in 2007
  3.7 Outlook of Feed Stuff Consumption in 2008
CHAPTER FOUR
Analysis of Corn Market for Feed Use in China
  4.1 Review of International Corn Market in 2007
  4.2 Analysis of Corn Supply in China in 2007
  4.3 Analysis of Corn Demand for Feed Use in 2007
    4.3.1 Corn Price and Corn Consumption for Feed Use
    4.3.2 Subsititute of Other Energy Feed for Corn
  4.4 Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in 2007
    4.4.1 Corn Consumption in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed
    4.4.2 Corn Consumption in Livstock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
  4.5 Outlook of Corn Consumption for Feed Use in 2008
CHAPTER FIVE 
Analysis of Soy Meal Market in China
  5.1 Review of International Soybean Market in 2007
  5.2 Analysis of Soybean Supply in China in 2007
    5.2.1 Domestic Soybean Supply
    5.2.2 Imported Soybean Supply
  5.3 Analysis of Soy Meal Demand for Feed Use in 2007
    5.3.1 Soy Meal Price and Soy Meal Consumption for Feed Use
    5.3.2 Subsititute of Other Albumen Feed for Soy Meal
  5.4 Consumption Structure of Soy Meal for Feed Use in 2007
    5.4.1 Soy Meal Consumption in Formula, Concentrated and Farm Mixed Feed
    5.4.2 Soy Meal Consumption in Livstock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
  5.5 Outlook of Soy Meal Consumption for Feed Use in 2008
CHAPTER SIX
Analysis of Fishmeal Market for Feed Use in China
  6.1 Review of International Fishmeal Market in 2007
  6.2 Analysis of Fishmeal Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    6.2.1 Domestic Fishmeal Supply
    6.2.2 Imported Fishmeal Supply
  6.3 Analysis of Fishmeal Demand for Feed Use in 2007
    6.3.1 Fishmeal Price and Fishmeal Consumption for Feed Use
    6.3.2 Subsititute of Other Albumen Feed for Fishmeal
  6.4 Consumption Structure of Fishmeal for Feed Use in 2007
    6.4.1 Fishmeal Consumption in Formula, Concentrated and Farm Mixed Feed
    6.4.2 Fishmeal Consumption in Livstock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
  6.5 Outlook of Fishmeal Consumption for Feed Use in 2008
CHAPTER SEVEN 
Analysis of Meat & Bone Meal Market for Feed Use in China
  7.1 Review of International Meat & Bone Meal Market in 2007
  7.2 Analysis of Meat & Bone Meal Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    7.2.1 Domestic Meat & Bone Meal Supply
    7.2.2 Imported Meat & Bone Meal Supply
  7.3 Analysis of Meat & Bone Meal Demand for Feed Use in 2007
  7.4 Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal for Feed Use in 2007
    7.4.1 Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Formula, Concentrated and Farm Mixed Feed
    7.4.2 Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Livstock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
  7.5 Outlook of Meat & Bone Meal Consumption for Feed Use in 2008
CHAPTER EIGHT 
Analysis of Lysine Market for Feed Use in China
  8.1 Review of International Lysine Market in 2007
  8.2 Analysis of Lysine Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    8.2.1 Domestic Bone Meal Supply Output of Major Lysine Manufacturing Enterprises
    8.2.2 9  8.5% Lysine Supply
    8.2.3 65% Lysine Supply
    8.2.4 Imported Lysine Supply
  8.3 Analysis of Lysine Demand for Feed Use in 2007
  8.4 Consumption Structure of Lysine for Feed Use in 2007
    8.4.1 9  8.5% Lysine and 65% Lysine Consumption
    8.4.2 Domestic and Exported Lysine Consumption
  8.5 Outlook of Lysine Consumption for Feed Use in 2008
CHAPTER NINE 
Analysis of Methionine Market for Feed Use in China
  9.1 Review of International Methionine Market in 2007
  9.2 Analysis of Methionine Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    9.2.1 Domestic Methionine Supply
    9.2.2 Imported Methionine Supply
  9.3 Analysis of Methionine Demand for Feed Use in 2007
  9.4Outlook of Methionine Consumption for Feed Use in 2008
Figures and Tables
Figure   2.1, China's Livstock & Poultry Slaughter and Manufactured Feed Demand, 1998-2007
Figure   2.2, China's Demand for Formula, Concentrated and Premixed Feed, 1998-2007
Figure   2.3, China's Manufactured Feed Output and Production Capability, 1998-2007
Figure   2.4, China's Fomula Feed Production Cost, 1998-2007
Figure   2.5, China's Manufactured Feed Output, 1998-2007
Figure   2.6, China's Concentrated Feed Output and Proportion, 1998-2007
Figure   2.7, China's Feed Enterprises Economic Form, 2007
Figure   2.8, China's Feed Enterprises Product Type, 2007
Figure   2.9, China's Fomula Feed Production Capability, 2007
Figure   2.10, Production Capability of Manufactured Feed in China, 1991-2007
Figure   2.11, Production Cost of Manufactured Feed in China, 2006-2007
Figure   2.12, Output of Manufactured Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   2.13, Output of Large Scale Feed Enterprises in China, 2000-2007
Figure   2.14, Output of Feed Enterprises above Designated Size in China, 2000-2007
Figure   2.15, Supply and Demand of Manufactured Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   2.16, Supply and Demand of Hog Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   2.17, Supply and Demand of Meat Poultry Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   2.18, Supply and Demand of Poultry Layer in China, 1998-2007
Figure   2.19, Supply and Demand of Aquatic Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   2.20, Supply and Demand of Ruminant Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   3.1, Consumption of Stuff for Major Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   3.2, Consumption of Stuff for Concentrated Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   3.3, Consumption of Stuff for Premixed Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   3.4, Consumption of Stuff for Hog Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   3.5, Consumption of Stuff for Meat Poultry Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   3.6, Consumption of Stuff for Poultry Layer Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   3.7, Consumption of Stuff for Aquatic Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   4.1, Output and Consumption of Corn in the World, 1998-2007
Figure   4.2, Output and Consumption of Corn in China, 1998-2007
Figure   4.3, Imports and Exports of Corn in China, 1998-2007
Figure   4.4, Structure of Imports and Exports of Corn in China(by country), 2007
Figure   4.5, Corn Price and Consumption of Corn for Feed Use in China, 1998-2007
Figure   4.6, Consumption of Corn for Feed Use and Other Energy Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   4.7, Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure   4.8, Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure   5.1, Output and Squeeze Amount of Soybean in the World, 1998-2007
Figure   5.2, Output , Imports and Squeeze Amount of Soybean in China, 1998-2007
Figure   5.3, Structure of Imported Soybean in China(by original countries), 2007
Figure   5.4, Soybean Price and Squeeze Amount in China, 1998-2007
Figure   5.5, Soy Meal Price and Squeeze Amount in China, 1998-2007
Figure   5.6, Structure of Imports and Exports of Soy Meal in China(by country), 2007
Figure   5.7, Consumption of Soy Meal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   5.8, Consumption Structure of Soy Meal in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure   5.9, Consumption Structure of Soy Meal in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure   6.1, Output of Fishmeal in the World, 1998-2007
Figure   6.2, Output , Imports and Consumption of Fishmeal in China, 1998-2007
Figure   6.3, Structure of Imported Fishmeal in China(by original countries), 2007
Figure   6.4, Fishmeal Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   6.5, Consumption of Fishmeal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   6.6, Consumption Structure of Fishmeal in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure   6.7, Consumption Structure of Fishmeal in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure   7.1, Output of Meat & Bone Meal in the World, 1998-2007
Figure   7.2, Output , Imports and Consumption of Meat & Bone Meal in China, 1998-2007
Figure   7.3, Structure of Imported Meat & Bone Meal in China(by original countries), 2007
Figure   7.4, Meat & Bone Meal Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   7.5, Consumption of Meat & Bone Meal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure   7.6, Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure   7.7, Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure   8.1, Output of Lysine in the World, 1998-2007
Figure   8.2, Output , Imports and Consumption of Lysine in China, 1998-2007
Figure   8.3, Regional Structure of Lysine Production in China, 2007
Figure   8.4, Enterprise Structure of Lysine Production in China, 2007
Figure   8.5, Structure of Imported Lysine in China(by destination countries), 2007
Figure   8.6, Lysine Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 2007
Figure   8.7, Consumption Structure of Lysine in Formula Feed, Concentrated Feed and Premixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure   9.1, Output of Methionine in the World, 1998-2007
Figure   9.2, Imports and Consumption of Methionine in China, 1998-2007
Figure   9.3, Structure of Imported Methionine in China(by original countries), 2007
Figure   9.4, Methionine Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 2007
Figure   9.5, Consumption Structure of Methionine in Formula Feed, Concentrated Feed and Premixed Feed in China, 2007
Table1, China Manufactured Feed Production (by provinces), 2007
Table 2, Monthly Feed Output of Scaled Feed Enterprises in China, 2007 
Table 3, China Formula Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 4, China Hog Formula Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 5, China Poultry Layer Formula Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 6, China Meat Poultry Formula Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 7, China Aquatic Formula Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 8, China Ruminant Formula Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 9, China Formula Feed Output of Other Animals(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 10, China Concentrated Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 11, China Premixed Feed Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 12, China Formula Feed Consumption(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 13, China Hog Formula Feed Consumption(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 14, China Meat Poultry Formula Feed Consumption(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 15, China Poultry Layer Formula Feed Consumption(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 16, China Aquatic Formula Feed Consumption(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 17, China Concentrated Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 18, China Premixed Feed Consumption(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 19, China Hog Formula Feed Retail Prices (by provinces), 2007
Table 20, China Broiler Formula Feed Retail Prices (by provinces), 2007
Table 21, China Layer Formula Feed Retail Prices (by provinces), 2007
Table 22, China Corn Retail Prices, 2007
Table 23, China Soymeal Retail Prices, 2007
Table 24, China Imported Fishmeal Retail Prices,2007
Table 25, China Corn Consumption for Feed, 1998~2007
Table 26, China Corn Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998~2007
Table 27, China Corn Consumption in Farm Mixed Feed, 1998~2007
Table 28, China Corn Export by Destination Country/Region, 2007
Table 29, China Corn Import by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 30, China Soymeal Consumption for Feed, 1998~2007
Table 31, China Soymeal Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998~2007
Table 32, China Soymeal Consumption with Concentrated Feed, 1998~2007
Table 33, China Soymeal Export by Destination Country/Region, 2007
Table 34, China Soymeal Import by Origianal Country/Region,2007
Table 35, China Fishmeal Output (by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 36, China Fishmeal Consumption for Feed, 1998~2007
Table 37, China Fishmeal Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998~2007
Table 38, China Fishmeal Consumption with Concentrated Feed, 1998~2007
Table 39, China Fishmeal Import by Origianal Country/Region, 2007
Table 40, China Fishmeal Balance Sheet, 2000~2008
Table41, China Meat & Bone Meal Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table42, China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption for Feed(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 43, China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998~2007
Table 44, China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Concentrated Feed, 1998~2007
Table 45, China Meat & Bone Meal (Beef, Sheep) Imports by Original Country/Region,2007
Table 46, China Other Meat & Bone Meal Imports by Original Country/Region in 2007
Table 47, China Meat & Bone Meal Balance Sheet, 2000~2008
Table 48, China Lysine Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 49, China Lysine Imports by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 50, China Lysine Exports by Destination Country/Region , 2007
Table 51, China Lysine Ester & Salt Imports by Original Country/Region in 2007
Table 52, China Lysine Ester & Salt Export by Destination Country/Region in 2007
Table 53, China Lysine Balance Sheet, 2000~2008
Table 54, China Methionine Output(by provinces), 1998~2007
Table 55, China Methionine Imports by Original Country/Region in 2007
Table 56, China Methionine Balance Sheet, 2000~2008
Report's synopsis
  China’s feed market experienced a hard time in 2007. Hog farms suffered a substantial reduction of hog inventory. Demand for Feed reduced largely and feedstuff price surged on a high level. Soymeal price even surpassed the highest level of RMB3,500/MT in 2004, resulting in more than 5,000 mid-small scale feed manufacturers suffering from stop production in China.
  Affected by tense hog supply and surging hog purchasing price, numbers of large scale animal slaughtering and meat processing enterprises entered animal breeding and feed producting industry, causing a reduction of feed market share rate. Meanwhile, a drowsy feed demand and high feedstuff price casued a reduction of profit rate, even losses in feed industry. Therefore, large scale feed groups engaged in animal breeding to expand market share and increase integration system as to gain more profit and accelerate market distribution. While the cessation of small scale feed factoties provide more space for the promotion of large scale enterprises business, it is expected feed market in China will be carved up by large scale enterprises in 2008.
  2007 is a milestone in Chinese feed industry. With the enlargement of animal breeding scale and long-term feedstuff price, product structure adjustment will be carried out in feed production, so output growth rate tend to be slowed down. In terms of feed varieties, formula feed and premixed feed increased proportion, while concentrated feed proportion reduced. In addition, corn feed supply tends to be strained on year-on-year basis, so farmers have enlarged utilization of non-regular feed, although which faced industrialization lag.
  On the basis of livestock and poultry inventory and feedstuff in 2007, this study gives an in-depth analysis of demand, production and product structure in the feed industry in 2007 and an outlook of the feed market based on changes in breeding scale and feedstuff market in 2008, so as to provide a reliable reference to relevant enterprises in their decision-making.
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