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TD-SCDMA in China: Two Years Away From Ten Million Users

完成日期：2008年06月

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English

报告目录    查看简介

Executive Summary
Introduction
Overview of China’s 3G Market
Restructuring Beneficial in the Long Run Only
Telecom Restructuring
Awarding 3G Licenses
Conclusions
TD-SCDMA Not Ready for Large-Scale Commercialization
TD-SCDMA Market Update
TD-SCDMA Terminal Models
Dual-Mode Compared to EDGE-Only Handsets
Video-Phone Performance
MBMS a Year From Commercialization
HSDPA Not Usable on Current Handsets
Conclusions
Operators Not Actively Promoting Until End of 2008
Technical Evolution
Operator Strategy Analysis
TD-SCDMA Market Forecast
TD-SCDMA Trends
Market Forecasts
Methodology
Related In-Stat Reports
List of Figures
Figure 1. TD-SCDMA Subscriber Forecast (in Millions)
Figure 2. TD-SCDMA Handset Subscriber Forecast (in Millions)
Figure 3. TD-SCDMA Data Card Subscriber Forecast (in Millions)
Figure 4. TD-SCDMA Network Equipment Capex Forecast (US$ in Billions)
Figure 5. Process of Telecom Restructuring
Figure 6. TD-SCDMA Terminal Market Share in First-Round of Bidding
Figure 7. TD-SCDMA Subscriber Forecast (in Millions)
Figure 8. TD-SCDMA Handset Subscriber Forecast (in Millions)
Figure 9. TD-SCDMA Data Card Subscriber Forecast (in Millions)
Figure 10. TD-SCDMA Network Equipment Capex Forecast (US$ in Billions)

报告简介

　　The development of TD-SCDMA will remain in its infancy throughout 2008, with the total number of subscribers reaching 600,000. In 2009, following a possible network expansion to tier-two and tier-three cities, the number of TD-SCDMA subscribers will explode to 4.3 million and in 2010 to 15.7 million. By then, China Mobile will be focusing on HSDPA/EDGE instead of just on TD/GSM dual-mode. The capex on TD-SCDMA is estimated to peak at US.3 billion by late 2008 or the beginning of 2009.
　　In-Stat believes that the market will move in TD-SCDMA's favor in 2009, and that 2009 will be the turning point for TD-SCDMA's growth rate, which will reach 617%. However, the number of subscribers will not pass 10 million until 2010.

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