Table of Contents
◇　Methodology
◇　What Does 3G Mean in China?
　　　　☉　Technical Advantages of 3G Technologies
　　　　☉　More Capacity and Better Coverage
　　　　☉　Higher Data Transmission Speed
　　　　☉　More Efficient Spectrum Usage
　　　　☉　Better Voice Quality
　　*　Composition of Wireless Network
　　　　☉　Radio Access Network (RAN)
　　　　☉　Core Network and Transmission Network (CN/TN)
　　　　☉　Service Network (SN)
　　*　Chinese Operators' Road to 3G
　　*　Carriers Divided
　　　　☉　Fixed Line Operators
　　　　☉　Mobile Incumbents
　　*　Enthusiastic Vendors
◇　Market Trends
　　*　Drivers
　　　　☉　Healthy Subscriber Growth
　　　　☉　Competition Driven 3G Development
　　　　☉　Voice Still Dominating
　　　　☉　Wireless Data Services Yet to Take Off
　　*　Barriers
　　　　☉　Government Hesitation
　　　　☉　SASAC Now at the Helm
　　　　☉　Foster Domestic Telecom Industry
　　　　☉　TD-SCDMA Commercialization Progresses
　　　　☉　Further Delay Could Backfire
　　　　☉　Striking a Balance
　　　　☉　Grow State Asset Value
　　　　☉　Market Uncertain
　　　　☉　Voice Market
　　　　☉　Mobile Data Market
　　　　☉　Increased Competition
　　*　Trends
　　　　☉　Changing Business Model
　　　　☉　Network Sharing
　　　　☉　Mobile Content Provisioning
　　　　☉　Handsets
　　　　☉　Network Service Providers
　　　　☉　Industry Restructuring Still Possible
　　　　☉　Emergence of Full Service Providers
　　　　☉　Three to Four 3G Licenses
　　　　☉　Market Share Development
　　　　☉　Profitability Declines
　　　　☉　2G CAPEX Up
　　　　☉　China Mobile
　　　　☉　China Unicom
　　　　☉　3G Will Mean Higher CAPEX, But Not By Much
　　　　☉　China Mobile
　　　　☉　China Telecom
　　　　☉　China Unicom
　　　　☉　China Netcom
　　　　☉　Vendors
　　　　☉　Technology Distribution in China
　　　　☉　Importance of Handset
　　　　☉　Customer Handset Preference
◇　Market Forecast (2005-2015)
　　*　Scenario Analysis
　　*　3G Subscriber Forecast
　　*　3G Service Revenue Forecast
　　　　☉　3G Service Revenue Distribution
　　　　☉　3G Service Revenue Forecast
◇　Profiles
　　*　Network Equipment Vendors
　　　　☉　Huawei
　　　　☉　ZTE
　　　　☉　Ericsson
　　　　☉　Motorola
　　　　☉　Nokia
　　*　Handset Vendors
　　　　☉　Nokia
　　　　☉　Motorola
　　　　☉　Samsung
　　　　☉　Sony Ericsson
◇　Definitions

List of Figures
　　Figure 1. Chinese Operators' Roadmap from 2G to 3G
　　Figure 2. Chinese Household Phone Ownership, 2002-2004
　　Figure 3. Correlation Between GDP Growth and Mobile Penetration in China
　　Figure 4. Percentage of Data Revenue for Japanese Operators
　　Figure 5. Chinese Operators' Data Revenue as a Percent of Total Revenue, 2004
　　Figure 6. Decision-Making Tree in China's Telecom Sector
　　Figure 7. IPR Ownership in TD-SCDMA
　　Figure 8. Estimated Price Elasticity of Demand for Voice-China Mobile
　　Figure 9. Market Share of Six Major Operators in Terms of Revenue, 2004
　　Figure 10. Mobile Market Shares, Dec. 2004
　　Figure 11. Market Share Comparison Between Green Fielders and Incumbents
　　Figure 12. China Mobile User Growth and ARPU
　　Figure 13. Number of Participants in WCDMA Alliance, June 2004
　　Figure 14. Technology Distribution in Chinese 3G Market, 2010
　　Figure 15. Chinese Consumer Decision Making Factors when Entering a New Mobile Subscription
　　Figure 16. Most Important Feature when Choosing a Mobile Phone
　　Figure 17. Subscriber Base and Penetration Rate, 2005-2015
　　Figure 18. Subscriber Flow in Scenario 1
　　Figure 19. Subscriber Flow in Scenario 2
　　Figure 20. Percentage of 3G Subscribers Out of Total Subscribers-Scenario 1
　　Figure 21. Percentage of 3G Subscribers Out of Total Subscribers-Scenario 2
　　Figure 22. Revenue Contribution by Services in Percentage